IceFire Capital
https://www.financialsense.com/podcast/21656/craig-tindale-how-china-won-global-supply-chain-war
05/13/2026
Unusual Machines $UMAC
Legendary investor Howard Marks puts it bluntly:
“When you buy the S&P 500 at a 23x P/E, your 10-yr annualized return has always fallen between +2% and –2%, IN EVERY CASE, EVERY CASE.”
Today the market sits at a 25x P/E. Add inflation… and your “returns” are negative.
So what’s Marks doing? Buying bonds!
During the 2000–2002 crash:
- Long-term Treasuries: +40–45%
- NASDAQ: –78%
History doesn’t repeat perfectly, but it rhymes.
We might only be in the first inning of the next pullback.
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