HOTCOG Homeland Security Division

University High School First Responders Day!!!

Happy Sunday, Central Texas! Below is the forecast from the National Weather Service for today and tomorrow. We will post updates if and when we get them. Don’t forget you can sign up for weather alerts at www.hotready.com!

Bottom Line
There is a threat for severe weather today and Monday across parts of North Texas.

Overview

This Afternoon
*A warm front draped across Central TX this morning will spread north through the day.
*Isolated severe thunderstorms may develop along this front this afternoon anywhere from Graham to Stephenville to near Waco. The highest threat is southwest of the Metroplex.
*Very large hail (2”+ in diameter) would be the main threat.

Tonight
*Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across West Texas this afternoon and will slowly spread east. *Additional thunderstorms will develop across parts of Northwest Texas prior to midnight.
*These storms will spread northeast overnight into Southern Oklahoma.
*Some severe wind gusts or hail to 1” in diameter will be possible across parts of North Texas through the overnight hours (see graphic below).

Monday
*The remnants of the overnight storms may still be ongoing across our northeast counties.
*This activity is expected to be below severe limits.
*A dryline will be located across our western counties by afternoon.
*The atmosphere across North Texas will be very unstable by afternoon with little capping.
*Thunderstorms may develop along the dryline by late afternoon.
*Large hail and damaging winds would be the main threats.

What We Are Certain Of:
*A warm front will spread north today with North and Central Texas becoming unstable by this afternoon.
*Thunderstorms will develop across West Texas and approach North Texas tonight.
*If thunderstorms develop this afternoon, they will be severe with a large hail threat.
*If thunderstorms develop along the dryline Monday, they will be severe with a large hail and damaging wind threat.

What We Are Less Certain Of:
*If thunderstorms develop this afternoon in our area along the front.
*How strong the storms will be tonight. They will weaken as they approach North Texas.
*If storms develop along the dryline on Monday.

Happy Sunday, Central Texas! Below is the forecast from the National Weather Service for today and tomorrow. We will post updates if and when they we get them. Don’t forgot you can sign up for weather alerts at www.hotready.com!

Bottom Line
There is a potential for locally heavy rainfall, isolated flooding, and marginally severe storms late today through Monday.

Overview

Today and Tonight

*A cold front will slowly move into the region today from the northwest.
*Showers and thunderstorms will become widespread along and behind the front by late afternoon, continuing through the overnight hours.
*Locally heavy rainfall is expected with some of the storms, mainly north of I-20 and closer to the Red River.
*Isolated rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are possible north of I-20 through daybreak Monday, which could lead to localized flooding. Again, the main threat would be in those counties closer to the Red River.
*Some storms along the front over western North Texas may become marginally severe late this afternoon and this evening. Large hail and damaging winds would be the main threats.

Monday
*Numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue Monday, mainly across Central Texas. Rain will be ending from north to south across North Texas during the morning hours.
*Some of the storms may produce some locally heavy rainfall Monday morning, mainly east of I-35. Isolated flooding concerns are possible due to these storms.
*Severe weather is not expected Monday. However, a few storms may become strong, producing gusty winds and small hail.

What We Are Certain Of:
*Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop across North and Central Texas from this afternoon through Monday.
*Widespread rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected, with isolated totals of 2-4 inches possible closer to the Red River. Some isolated flooding will likely occur in association with these heavier pockets of rain.
*Widespread, significant severe weather is not expected. The overall threat for severe weather is lower than that associated with events earlier this month.
*Sunday afternoon/evening outdoor activities may be impacted by scattered showers and storms in the area.

What We Are Less Certain Of:
*Exactly how much rainfall will occur, and where the heaviest totals will occur.
*The potential for marginally severe thunderstorms late this afternoon and this evening.