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A boost in new listings drives further inventory gains and price adjustments
The 1,720 sales in September were not high enough to offset the 3,782 new listings coming onto the market, driving further inventory gains as we move into the fall. There were 6,916 units in inventory in September, 36 per cent higher than last year and over 17 per cent higher than levels traditionally reported in September. Both row and apartment style homes have reported the largest boost in supply compared to long-term trends.

“Supply levels have been rising in the resale, new home and rental markets. The additional supply choice is coming at a time when demand is slowing, mostly due to slower population growth and persistent uncertainty. Resale markets have more competition from new homes and additional supply in the rental market, reducing the sense of urgency amongst potential purchasers. Ultimately, the additional supply choice is weighing on home prices,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, CREB® Chief Economist.

Supply levels relative to demand typically drive shifts in home prices. In September, the sales to new listings ratio dipped to 45 per cent, and the months of supply pushed up to four months for the first time since early 2020. This is a higher level of supply compared to demand than is typically seen in the Calgary market and, should this persist, we could see a market that shifts more in favour of the buyer. However, conditions do vary by property type, price range and location.

Inventory gains for apartment style homes over the past several months have contributed to buyer market conditions in this segment, driving year-over-year price adjustments of over six per cent for a total benchmark price of $322,900 in September. While the detached segment has also seen a rise in the months of supply, it has not been as high as the apartment condo sector. At a benchmark price of $749,900, detached home prices are only one per cent lower than last year, with most of the adjustments driven by the North East and North districts.

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JUNE 2025 HOUSING MARKET UPDATE

Inventory levels in June continued to rise, both over last month’s and last year’s levels. By the end of the month, inventory reached 6,941 units, returning to levels reported in 2021, or prior to the surge in population growth. While sales have remained consistent with long-term trends despite a decline from recent months, higher levels of new listings compared to sales have contributed to the inventory gain.

All property types have reported gains in inventory, but both row and apartment style homes reported inventory levels over 30 per cent higher than long-term trends, while supply for detached and semi-detached units are only slightly higher than typical levels.

“Supply has improved across rental, resale and new home markets, allowing for more choice for those considering their housing options,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “The additional choice combined with no further declines in lending rates, persistent uncertainty and concerns of price adjustments is keeping many potential purchasers on the sidelines. This is weighing on home prices, especially for apartment and row style homes.”

The unadjusted benchmark price was $586,200 in June, lower than last month and over three per cent lower than last year. Much of the citywide decline was driven by apartment and row style homes, which are over three per cent lower than last year. Meanwhile, detached prices have remained relatively stable and semi-detached homes are still slightly higher than last year.

The steeper price declines for apartment and row style homes are reflective of those segments shifting toward a market that favours the buyer with nearly four months of supply. Meanwhile conditions are relatively balanced for detached and semi-detached homes. Overall conditions in Calgary have changed, but not enough to erase the significant growth in prices that have occurred over the past four years.

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New Listings in February reached 2,830, roughly in line with historical averages for the month. The sales-to-new listings ratio for the month was 61 per cent, higher than historical averages but below levels seen in each of the last three years.

“Even though more people listed their homes for sale, there were actually fewer sales than in February 2024. So, we’re seeing the seller’s market of the past two or three years ease off,” CREB®. “In turn, that’s caused the pace at which prices are increasing to slow down a bit, which should come as welcome news for buyers.”

The total residential unadjusted benchmark price in February was $587,600, relatively stable compared to late-2024 and roughly one per cent higher year-over-year. Price changes varied across the city, with the City Centre and North districts seeing declines, while the East district saw the largest price growth at over three per cen.

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