Storm Tramp Weather Guide

A damaging thunderstorm complex will race south this evening and tonight across parts of Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma and Arkansas! This complex of storms will produce wind gusts up to 100 mph along with embedded tornadoes and a significant flood risk. If you’re camping in these areas, I’d reconsider!

~Significant Severe Weather Possible Next Wednesday~

Significant severe weather is possible Wednesday afternoon and evening across portions of IA, IL, and MO. We are several days out so some changes are possible. Also, we can't get that detailed into it yet. However, environmental conditions and kinematics will support an all-hazard event during the afternoon/evening hours, especially if storms can interact with a lifting warm front. Storms will probably develop during the early to mid-afternoon hours because of the arriving shortwave trough.

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⚠️New severe weather map for Sunday through Sunday night. See my 3 previous rapid-fire posts.⚠️

A Level 2 risk is up today across a long stretch of the East, from the Appalachians through the Mid-Atlantic and into the Northeast.

Damaging wind is the main story here. Strong June heating on a muggy airmass is the fuel, and there isn't a ton of wind shear to organize things, so think scattered storms collapsing into clusters and pushing out gusty downburst winds this afternoon and evening.

A stray bit of hail or a brief spin-up is possible, but the thing to watch for near you is a fast-moving storm knocking down limbs and powerlines. Keep an eye to the sky later today.

Let’s talk about the Midwest real quick. They are getting hammered at a historic rate with severe weather outbreaks. Another outbreak possible Saturday, and then midweek next week has the potential to be NASTY.

It just doesn’t stop

It just doesn’t stop!

Here we go again....

Multiple lines of severe storms are likely tomorrow night, stretching from Wisconsin to Texas. The greatest threat will be in Kansas, Missouri, and Illinois, where large hail, significant damaging winds, and a few tornadoes will be possible.

Live stream appears likely.

Tornado Watch for Allegan, Barry, Bay, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass, Clinton, Eaton, Genesee, Gratiot, Hillsdale, Ingham, Ionia, Isabella, Jackson, Kalamazoo, Kent, Livingston, Mecosta, Midland, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo, Ottawa, Saginaw, St. Joseph, Shiawassee and Van Buren County in MI until 2:00am EDT.

Hazards
A couple strong tornadoes possible
Isolated hail up to ping pong ball sized
Widespread wind gusts up to 75 mph likely